Trust-Driven Three-Way Conflict Analysis Model Based on the Best-Worst Method
ZHU Junjie1,2, ZHANG Qinghua1,2,3, LUO Nanfang1,3
1. School of Computer Science and Technology, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065; 2. Chongqing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence, Chong-qing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065; 3. Key Laboratory of Cyberspace Big Data Intelligent Security of Ministry of Education, Chongqing University of Posts and Te-lecommunications, Chongqing 400065
摘要 在传统的冲突分析中,通常假设代理是相互独立的,并且忽略社交网络中代理之间的潜在联系及地位差异.此外,社交网络中的信任关系往往是不完备的,而科学确定问题的权重是缓解冲突的关键因素之一.为了解决上述问题,文中提出基于最优最劣方法(Best-Worst Method, BWM)的信任驱动三支冲突分析模型(Trust-Driven Three-Way Conflict Analysis Model Based on the BWM, TBWM-3WCA).首先,针对社会网络中信任关系不完备的问题,利用路径惩罚系数与爱因斯坦积模拟信任传播,补全信任矩阵.然后,为了体现代理在群体中的影响力差异,研究主体间的潜在关系以推导影响力权重,这些权重随后用于聚合群体态度,客观识别冲突情境中最受支持议题与最不受支持议题,进而结合BWM确定议题权重.最后,引入基于系统冲突度的动态反馈机制,用于迭代调整代理态度,促进共识的形成和冲突的收敛.实例分析及对比实验表明TBWM-3WCA在处理冲突问题上的有效性.
Abstract:In traditional conflict analysis, agents are typically assumed to be independent, and the latent connections and status inequality among agents in social networks are neglected. Furthermore, trust relationships in social networks are often incomplete, and the scientific determination of the issue weights is also a key factor in mitigating conflict. To address these issues, a trust-driven three-way conflict analysis model based on the best-worst method(TBWM-3WCA) is proposed. First, to address the issue of incomplete trust relationships in social networks, the path penalty coefficient and the Einstein product are utilized to simulate trust propagation and complete the trust matrix. Second, to reflect the differences in agents influence within a group, latent relationships among agents are explored to derive influence weights. Then, the influence weights are employed to aggregate group attitudes and objectively identify the most and least supported issues in conflict scenarios. BWM is subsequently incorporated to determine the issue weights. Finally, a dynamic feedback mechanism based on the system conflict degree is incorporated to iteratively adjust the attitudes of agents, thereby promoting consensus formation and conflict convergence. Case studies and comparative experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model in resolving conflicts.
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