模式识别与人工智能
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模式识别与人工智能  2016, Vol. 29 Issue (2): 143-153    DOI: 10.16451/j.cnki.issn1003-6059.201602006
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基于萤火虫群优化算法的选择性集成雾霾天气预测方法*
倪志伟,张琛,倪丽萍
合肥工业大学 管理学院 合肥 230009
合肥工业大学 过程优化与智能决策教育部重点实验室 合肥 230009
Haze Forecast Method of Selective Ensemble Based on Glowworm Swarm Optimization Algorithm
NI Zhiwei, ZHANG Chen, NI Liping
School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009
Key Laboratory of Process Optimization and Intelligent Decision-Making of Ministry of Education,Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009

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摘要 雾霾目前已成为严重的环境污染问题,因此需要预测雾霾天气,最小化雾霾的负面影响.文中提出基于萤火虫群优化算法的选择性集成学习方法,首先使用混合核SVM独立训练多个个体支持向量机,然后利用改进的离散型萤火虫群优化算法选择部分精度较高、差异度较大的个体分类器参与集成,最后通过多数投票法得到最终的分类预测结果.应用文中方法预测中国雾霾天气,实验表明方法的有效性和可行性.
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Abstract:Haze is a kind of serious environmental pollution. Therefore, haze weather forecast is an effective way to minimize the negative influence of haze. A selective ensemble learning based on glowworm swarm optimization algorithm is proposed. Firstly, some individual support vector machines are trained by the mixed kernel support vector machine independently, and then some classifiers with high precision and diversity are selected by the improved discrete glowworm swarm optimization algorithm. Finally, the classification results are obtained by majority voting. The proposed algorithm is utilized to forecast haze weather in China. Experimental results show that it has higher effectiveness and feasibility.
收稿日期: 2015-03-26     
ZTFLH: TP391  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金重点项目(No.71490725)、国家自然科学基金项目(No.71271071)、国家自然科学青年基金项目(No.71301041)资助
作者简介: 倪志伟,男,1963年生,博士,教授,主要研究方向为数据挖掘、人工智能、机器学习等.E-mail:zhwnelson@163.com.
(NI Zhiwei, born in 1963, Ph.D., professor. His research interests include data mining, artificial intelligence, machine learning etc.) 
张琛(通讯作者),女,1986年生,博士研究生,主要研究方向为数据挖掘、人工智能、机器学习等.E-mail:zhangchen0304@163.com.
(ZHANG Chen (Corresponding author), born in 1986, Ph.D. candidate. Her research interests include data mining, artificial intelligence, machine learning etc.) 
倪丽萍,女,1981年生,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为分形数据挖掘、机器学习等.E-mail:lilacnlp@126.com.
(NI Liping, born in 1981, Ph.D., associate professor. Her research interests include fractal data mining, machine learning etc.)
引用本文:   
倪志伟,张琛,倪丽萍. 基于萤火虫群优化算法的选择性集成雾霾天气预测方法*[J]. 模式识别与人工智能, 2016, 29(2): 143-153. NI Zhiwei, ZHANG Chen, NI Liping. Haze Forecast Method of Selective Ensemble Based on Glowworm Swarm Optimization Algorithm. , 2016, 29(2): 143-153.
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